1	A Report to the Lawrence Public Schools on Student Enrollment and School Capacities Prepared by Stanton Leggett & Associates December 2007
2
3	Assignments for Lawrence Demographic study (How many students can be expected?) Capacity study (How much space do we have?)
4	Task 1 Projecting Students Basic method is “cohort survival” Ratio of grade to grade student numbers (survival)
5	Cohort Survival Example
6	Difficulties and Limitations Births Birth data Special needs students Pre-kindergarten Self-fulfilling prophecy
7	What is happening in the area that might change the patterns? Housing development Housing sales, turnover Population changes Employment Political/zoning changes Other factors
8	Sources of Information US Census, Nassau County Data Points Interviewed planners in: Atlantic Beach Cedarhurst Lawrence Town of Hempstead Nassau County Local Realtors Residents
9	History of Enrollment
10	Ratios of Movement
11	K-12 Enrollment History and Projections (Projection range for 2012 highlighted)
12
13
14
15	Working Ranges (2012)
16	Note that high school classes are larger than elementary suggesting that enrollment will continue to decline unless something not foreseen occurs.
17	Task 2 Estimating the capacity of the district’s existing buildings Different needs Different programs Different methods
18	Elementary Buildings What you remember from your days in school, may not be accurate, may not have worked well then and will not work today.
19	"Activities have changed" Activities have changed Instruction has changed Technology has changed Space needs have changed but the rooms have not
20	Of 99 elementary classrooms, fewer than 17 meet today’s State minimums
21	"Small classrooms are perfectly legal..." Small classrooms are perfectly legal but they tend to limit the program. By capping the number of students in a small room, you can permit space for Individuals Groups Discussion Technology
22	How Many Students per Room? Take room size 616 sf Subtract space for teacher, storage, technology, work tables 207 sf Divide remainder 409 sf By space allocated per student 27 sf 616 sf room is adequate for 15 to 16 students
23	Capacity of Lawrence Elementary Schools (Adjusted to provide 27 net sq ft per student)
24	Middle School Capacity Most difficult to estimate Depends on program Teaming approach often uses space inefficiently Many variations on the theme
25	Basic Middle School Team Structure Four teachers of core subjects (English, social studies, math, science) work together with 90 to 110 students Three classrooms plus science lab When students go to exploratory subjects, classrooms usually remain empty
26	Exploratory subjects taught by specialists usually in specially equipped rooms Music and Art Computers and Technology Home/Careers and Industrial Technology Physical Education and Health World Languages
27	Lawrence Middle School was designed as a high school. Therefore, the Space for most exploratory subjects exists. Quality of space and equipment not considered. The cafeteria and library are undersized.
28	Excluding space currently set aside for Exploratory programs and for special education and support, LMS has 26 classrooms and seven science rooms. (Some of the science rooms are undersized)
29	That count excludes classrooms currently assigned for special needs, support, health, world language and music. There are at least 28 potential classrooms in LMS that are 750 square feet or larger.
30	If a team of 90 to 110 students occupies three classrooms and one science lab for its core subjects, LMS has space for seven full teams without reusing classroom space assigned to a team. Seven teams x 90 to 110 students = 630 to 770 student capacity
31	Central Administration currently occupies the equivalent of eight classrooms on the main floor. Additionally, there are central administration offices and shops on the ground floor, largely in space not suitable for students.
32	If Central Administration moved from its existing offices, with significant remodeling there would be classroom space for an additional 160 to 200 students. It would take further study to determine if needed support space could be provided.
33	High School Capacity Dictated by program Scheduling patterns Science and technology Physical education and fields Art, music, drama and dance Offices, lockers, special needs
34	Recommended Scheduling Pattern Flexibility, set up and break down Classrooms, 8 of 9 periods Science labs, 6 of 9 periods Physical education, 9 of 9 periods